5 Best Commodity Market Ideas

By Prashant M. Mehta

Commodity markets are a little different in terms of trading from traditional equity markets and thus, here are 5 best commodity market ideas that can work in India:

Cautious to negative on MCX crude

OPEC is finding it increasingly difficult to influence crude prices, which means that MCX crude could come under pressure. Moreover, Russia has joined the OPEC consortium in terms of cuts in crude supply.However, the US appears to enjoy a few clear distinctive advantages in terms of expansion in crude supply. Further, Trump has already withdrawn from the Paris Climate Agreement, which opens significant opportunities for the US for undertaking substantial expansion of its shale capacity. Thus, going cautious to negative on MCX crude.

Uncertainty factors could help MCX gold

The World Gold Council has announced that the gold demand for 2017 will not be substantially more than the previous year. Although India and China are the highest consumers of gold, gold prices will not be driven by consumption demand. Moreover, volatility in North Korea and Middle East coupled with other global factors could influence the direction gold prices takes. All these uncertainty factors could help MCX gold.

Using bounces-to-sell strategy for copper might help

The fact that copper has corrected for two weeks on-the-trot gives it a weak outlook. Thus, waiting for a bounce in price to sell could be a good strategy. Moody's recently downgrading China doesn't help copper prices either, since China contributes more than half of global copper demand.

Going short-term negative on MCX zinc could be a good option

Owing to environmental inspections, many zinc mines in the Hunan province of China were shut down. This led to subdued supply of zinc. Post completion of inspections, zinc supplies have started flooding the markets, which has brought prices under pressure as well. Moreover, strength of the US Dollar will weigh on MCX Zinc. Thus, going short-term negative on MCX zinc could be a good option

Long trade on NCDEX cumin on shortfall in supply could be a good option

With more than 70% of the world's supply of cumin, India is the world's largest producer of cumin. Other cumin producer such as Syria and Turkey are much smaller. Exports of cumin in India are expected to remain buoyant despite higher prices of the commodity. The commodity saw decent open interest gains, which again indicate towards pricing heading upwards. Therefore, long trade on NCDEX cumin on shortfall in supply could be a good option.

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